Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001343 0.001429 0.001518 0.001616 0.001722 0.001832 0.001957
2024-10-27 0.001220 0.001338 0.001464 0.001608 0.001770 0.001946 0.002152
2024-11-03 0.001098 0.001232 0.001379 0.001553 0.001753 0.001978 0.002250
2024-11-10 0.001042 0.001193 0.001362 0.001567 0.001809 0.002089 0.002437
2024-11-17 0.000980 0.001140 0.001324 0.001552 0.001828 0.002153 0.002568
2024-11-24 0.000942 0.001113 0.001313 0.001566 0.001878 0.002254 0.002746
2024-12-01 0.000889 0.001064 0.001272 0.001539 0.001874 0.002287 0.002838
2024-12-08 0.000847 0.001027 0.001243 0.001524 0.001884 0.002335 0.002949
2024-12-15 0.000812 0.000995 0.001218 0.001513 0.001897 0.002385 0.003064
2024-12-22 0.000785 0.000972 0.001203 0.001513 0.001922 0.002451 0.003200
2024-12-29 0.000754 0.000943 0.001179 0.001499 0.001928 0.002492 0.003302
2025-01-05 0.000729 0.000920 0.001162 0.001494 0.001944 0.002545 0.003423
2025-01-12 0.000692 0.000882 0.001125 0.001463 0.001930 0.002561 0.003501
2025-01-19 0.000667 0.000859 0.001108 0.001459 0.001950 0.002626 0.003652
2025-01-26 0.000627 0.000815 0.001060 0.001410 0.001907 0.002600 0.003669
2025-02-02 0.000613 0.000804 0.001057 0.001423 0.001950 0.002698 0.003873
2025-02-09 0.000591 0.000781 0.001037 0.001410 0.001955 0.002740 0.003994
2025-02-16 0.000579 0.000772 0.001034 0.001422 0.001997 0.002837 0.004205
2025-02-23 0.000555 0.000746 0.001007 0.001398 0.001983 0.002851 0.004284
2025-03-02 0.000536 0.000727 0.000989 0.001385 0.001986 0.002888 0.004402
2025-03-09 0.000520 0.000709 0.000973 0.001376 0.001992 0.002932 0.004532
2025-03-16 0.000507 0.000697 0.000964 0.001375 0.002013 0.002997 0.004700
2025-03-23 0.000492 0.000680 0.000947 0.001363 0.002014 0.003032 0.004819